Projected range of sea-level rise by climate change scenario

Projected range of sea-level rise by climate change scenario

Table
Projected range of sea-level rise by climate change scenario*
scenario temperature change (°C)
in 2090–99 relative to 1980–99 sea-level rise (m)
in 2090–99 relative to 1980–99
B1 1.1–2.9 0.18–0.38
A1T 1.4–3.8 0.20–0.45
B2 1.4–3.8 0.20–0.43
A1B 1.7–4.4 0.21–0.48
A2 2.0–5.4 0.23–0.51
A1Fl 2.4–6.4 0.26–0.59
*Ranges of sea-level rise are based on various models of climate change that exclude the possibility of future rapid changes in ice flow, such as the melting of the Greenland and Antarctic ice caps.
Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report
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